Futuribili. Rivista di studi sul futuro e di previsione sociale. 2017, n. 1, Vol. XXII

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CONTENTS / SOMMARIO

Gasparini Alberto

Editoriale


Prima parte. La fiera universale: il presente dal futuro previsto nel passato e i vantaggi derivati dal passato prossimo. Esempi e valutazioni

Asimov Isaac

L’expo mondiale del 2014 (o meglio del 2015) vista dal 1964

Boffi Mario, Colleoni Matteo, Lipari Licia, Zajczyk Francesca

L’eredità materiale e culturale dell’Esposizione Universale di Milano 2015

Cosmi Francesca

Lisboa, l’oceano del cambiamento urbano nella città


Seconda parte. Dentro la globalizzazione, dall'Expo al futuro

Maxton Graeme, Randers Jorgen

Let the poor world grow

Scidà Giuseppe

Paradigmi della società globale e invasione degli spazi di vita quotidiana

Barbieri Masini Eleonora

Ecologia umana, luci e ombre. Uno sguardo sul futuro

Nebbia Giorgio

Le popolazioni di merci e il loro futuro

Cipriani Roberto

L’acqua e la religione come fattori di integrazione


Terza parte. Lungo il percorso della rivista "Futuribili", del Club di Roma, della previsione

Ferraro Pietro

È possibile aprire un dialogo sui problemi del futuro? Quale il ruolo di “Futuribili”?

Gasparini Alberto

1994. Perché rifondare “Futuribili” (seconda serie) dopo vent’anni

Gasparini Alberto

Pietro Ferraro. Dalla scoperta di quello che c’è sul confine delle possibilità dell’uomo all’esplorazione del come scegliere i colori del mondo nuovo

Gori Umberto

Aurelio Peccei e il club di Roma: un pioniere degli studi previsionali

Barbieri Masini Eleonora, Ferrarotti Franco, Gallino Luciano, Gori Umberto, Longo Giuseppe O., Papisca Antonio

Sui significati e sull’utilità della previsione. Tavola Rotonda


Quarta parte. Previsione: metodi scientifici, metodi istituzionali

Gasparini Alberto

Previsione e Futures studies

Cattarinussi Bernardo

Il lascito delle utopie

Sidelnikov Yury V., Afanasov Michael A., Minaev Edward S.

Multicriterion model of selecting management strategies for UAV design and production

Gasparini Alberto

Il ruolo di Igor Bestuzhev-Lada nella progettazione istituzionale della previsione a Gorizia e in Italia. Omaggio a Igor Bestuzhev-Lada

Details

EXPO UNIVERSALE, FUTURIBILI E IL “CLUB DI ROMA”, METODI SCIENTIFICI E ISTITUZIONALI


Futuribili, Vol. 22, no. 1, 2017


Alberto Gasparini

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  • Publication
    Futuribili. Rivista di studi sul futuro e di previsione sociale. Vol. XXII, n. 1, 2017
    (EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, 2017)
    This year marks the 50th anniversary of the appearance of Futuribili in Italy, and for about 40 years it has analysed Italy, the world and prediction methods in the hundred or more editions published from 1967 to 1974 and from 1994 to the present day. There is always “a need for prediction”, but in truth there are historical moments when this need is great and others in which prediction is all but superfluous because future events are implicit in the current orientation. This unevenness in the need for prediction is reflected in the history of Futuribili, coinciding with the forms it has taken over time. If this is the heart of the current need for prediction, for Futuribili it is more essential than ever to rethink its framework and structure, to broaden its target to a large number of groups, to reach a target readership that is sensitive to effective solutions to the problems posed.
      367  3230
  • Publication
    È possibile aprire un dialogo sui problemi del futuro? Quale il ruolo di “Futuribili”?
    (EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, 2017)
    Ferraro, Pietro
    Founder of “Futuribili” in 1967, Pietro Ferraro illustrates the broad context of the journal’s birth – the importance of research on possible futures, the rapid advance of science and technology and its revolutionary effects on social structures. He also considers the contingent context of a small group of scholars gathered around the Istitute per le Ricerche di Economia Applicata (IREA) in Rome. He then examines the crucial support of the French jornal “Futuribles”. The objectives of “Futuribili” are: establishing a broad-based dialogue, setting up interdisciplinary cooperation, forming public opinion on themes connected to the future, exchanging practical experiences, using an appropriate but simple language, opening a dialogue between Italian and foreign authors.
      418  343
  • Publication
    L’acqua e la religione come fattori di integrazione
    (EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, 2017)
    Cipriani, Roberto
    The relationship between water and religion is ancient, has deep roots and takes place along routes that seem to be characteristic for every religious expression. We may come to say that water and religion are almost synonymous: both come from the heavens; the one and the other have to do with time. But above all, there are plenty of strictly religious uses of water as an essential component of some ceremonies, such as blessings, consecrations and exorcisms. Water washes, cleans what is unclean, especially sin. Water is life, purification, regeneration. This gives rise to numerous possibilities of development. Immersion in water is a return to the origins, with an outcome that creates strength and purity. A pilgrimage can involve crossing a river, especially near the place of arrival. However, the most difficult problem to solve remains: there is still a wide gap between those who have sufficient water resources and those who have to look for alternative solutions, with huge efforts and poor results.
      433  2579
  • Publication
    Il lascito delle utopie
    (EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, 2017)
    Cattarinussi, Bernardo
    A century after the creation of the last utopias, it is possible to analyse the overall changes social structures and institutions conceived by utopians have undergone in the modern era. The starting point for written utopias was the indentification of an evil, a single or multiple “social sin”, which was identified as the cause of the pernicious social order against which alternative structures founded on new principles and able to bring happiness to the inhabitants of the future community were suggested. The main function of modern utopias is thus identified in an initial social criticism – latent or manifest – of the socioeconomic conditions of the standing social order. Their analysis of social institutions, such as family, government and social stratification, allows us to distinguish different categories of utopians, based on their desire to eliminate such structures entirely or simply modify their respective weights. The proposals advanced by some authors to exclude certain categories of individuals from the future social order may lead to some considerations on the difficult path of social inclusion.
      268  555
  • Publication
    1994. Perché rifondare “Futuribili” (seconda serie) dopo vent’anni
    (EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, 2017)
    Gasparini, Alberto
    In this editorial, Alberto Gasparini, refounder of “Futuribili” in 1994, shows that 20 years after the demise of “Futuribili” there still is an increasing imperative to inform decision makers of the results of research on the future. While in the late 1970s there was a need to predict the future and come up with answers to social questions, in 1994 reality requires answers to the new questions posed by international changes triggered by the fall of communism. Under such conditions, it is necessary not only to study possible futures, but also to investigate impossible futures to identify their “almost impossible” sides and turn them into possible ones. The aims of new series “Futuribili” are, thus, to resume the project left suspended by Ferraro; gather new scholars around “Futuribili”; strengthen ties with journals such as “Futuribles” and “Futures”; pay close attention to new international themes; reorganise the journal’s structure around theme-based editions under the guidance of guest editors; be more a scientific and cultural forum than a narrowly academic publication and, last but not least, give priority to discussions, dialogue and research which could be linked to some of the international work of the Istituto di Sociologia Internazionale di Gorizia (ISIG), just as the previous series of “Futuribili” under Ferraro had revolved around the Istituto per le Ricerche di Economia Applicata (IREA).
      472  445